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Archive for September, 2006

The NFL Post – week 4

Posted by Adam on September 29, 2006

How I Did

5-8-1 ATS, 10-4 straight up (21-24-1, 32-14 for the season).
What I Learned

Good teams find a way to win.  Chicago, Baltimore, and active Steve Smith Carolina all came from behind late to win their games last week.  Cincinnati and Denver seem like legitimate playoff teams, while New England and Pittsburg should still be competitve but are not as strong as in past seasons.  The guys in Vegas know what they are doing.  Two weeks ago only one dog who beat the spread did not win outright.  This week there were four such teams.

What Was Reinforced

Despite Green Bay winning and Tennessee  hanging with Miami until the end, I still don’t see them combined with Oakland winning many games this year.  The offense isn’t there for Tennessee, the defense is non-existant for Green Bay, and everything is awry in Oakland.  Also, this is still a quarterback’s league.  The team with the better QB won almost every game last week, with Brady’s loss to Plummer the glaring exception (though to be fair, New England has no established receivers).  Finally the spread is killer.

What To Expect

Are the Jets a legitimate contender in the AFC (L)east?  I don’t expect them to beat Indy (even with the game at the Meadowlands), but if they beat the nine point spread that has to make them better than anyone could’ve predicted in the pre-season.  Even with Shaun Alexander hurt, I think Sunday night’s game could very well be a preview of the NFC championship game.  We’ll find out who the best team in the conference is by Monday.
The Picks

  •  IND -9 over NYJ
  • SD -2.5 over BAL
  • MIN +1 over BUF
  • TEN +9.5 over DAL (Dallas outright)
  • KC -7 over SF
  • CAR -7 over NO
  • ARI +7.5 over ATL (Atlanta outright)
  • HOU +3.5 over MIA
  • STL -6 over DET
  • CIN -6 over NE
  • JAX -3 over WAS
  • CLE -3 over OAK
  • CHI -3.5 over SEA
  • GB +11 over PHI (Philadelphia outright)
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Posted in Sports | 1 Comment »

The NFL Post – week 3

Posted by Adam on September 22, 2006

The only post you can count on week in and week out is back.  It’s Friday.  Ain’t got no job.  Got shit to do.  Let’s get into the week 3 column!

How I Did

9-7 ATS, 13-3 straight up (16-16, 22-10 for the season).  There’s a reason for the spread.

What I Learned

When taking the points, also pick the underdog to win outright.  That was the case last week when Kansas City was the only team that beat the spread but did not win their game.  I had thought the spreads were too lofty for this early in the season, but that is why I make my picks on a blog and not for a casino.  I also learned that Buffalo and Tampa have absolutely no offense this season; Houston, Arizona, and Washington can’t play defense; and Jacksonville, Minnesota, and Baltimore are gonna be a lot better than I expected.

What Was Reinforced

This is not your early turn of the century Patriots team.  They will struggle to beat the elite teams in close games.  Oakland, Green Bay, and Tennessee are going to be real bad this year.  I picked them to win a combined 10 games, and they may not even reach that paultry total.  Injuries continue to hit hard early in the season.  No Trent, no Steve, and a very banged up Cadillac meant losses for KC, Carolina, and Tampa respectively.

What to Expect

Nine of the 14 games this week are inter-divisional match-ups.  Even if these games seem lopsided on paper, a team will always step it up against a regional foe (especially at home).  New England, Chicago, Seattle, and Cincinnati also get their first real tests of the year on Sunday.  At least one of the four will lose.

The Picks

  • NYJ +6 over BUF
  • PIT -2 over CIN
  • IND -7 over JAX
  • MIA -11 over TEN
  • WAS -4 over HOU
  • CHI -3.5 over MIN
  •  CAR -3 over TB
  • DET -6.5 over GB
  • BAL -6.5 over CLE
  • ARI -4.5 over STL
  • SEA -3.5 over NYG
  • PHI -6 over SF
  • NE -6.5 over DEN
  • NO +4 over ATL

Posted in Sports | 2 Comments »

The NFL Post – week 2

Posted by Adam on September 15, 2006

Heading into the second week of the season, my weekly look ahead gets its first official dry run.  As opposed to last week’s preview of the whole season, this time we switch to what should be the standard format.  Enjoy.

How I Did

7-9 ATS, 9-7 straight up.  An auspicious start to say the least, but it could’ve been worse.

What I learned

The first few weeks of the NFL season are an oddsmaker’s nightmare.  The lines for last week were by and large miniscule, mostly due in part to the uncertainty of the fresh start to the season.  An uncertainty that can be backed up by the fact that seven “favorites” lost last week.  I think the main thing I will take away from week one though is that injuries to key players can totally transform a team.  Granted the Chiefs were behind at the time, but  losing Trent Green completely haulted any progress for their offense.  Likewise, Carolina looks like a totally different team without Steve Smith on offense.  These are things to consider when picking this week’s winners.

What Was Reinforced

A good defense will always win out over a good offense, and a bad defense will win out over a bad offense as well.  Chicago, Baltimore, and San Diego were dominant in their inagural games because of their D.  Detroit and Atlanta were also able to beat the spread thanks in large part to impressive efforts while not having possession of the football.  When in doubt, go with the better defense.

What to Expect

If last week’s point spreads were cautiously small, it seems that oddsmakers have decided to make wild lines this week based on week one’s results.  Five games have lines over 10 points and only five are under five points.  Again I feel this goes back to the early season uncertainty.  I do not expect everyone who looked great last week to keep up the act this week or vice versa though.  Expect another week with a fair share of “upsets”.

The Picks

Remember that all picks are ATS and straight up, unless otherwise noted.

  • OAK +12 over BAL (BAL to win the game)
  • HOU +13.5 over IND (IND to win)
  • CIN -10 over CLE
  • MIA -6.5 over BUF
  • DET +8.5 over CHI (CHI to win)
  • MIN (PK) over CAR
  • PHI -3 over NYG
  • TB +5.5 over ATL (ATL to win)
  • NO -2 over GB
  • STL -3 over SF
  • SEA -7 over ARI
  • NE -6 over NYJ
  • SD -11.5 over TEN
  • KC +10.5 over DEN (DEN to win)
  • DAL -6 over WAS
  • JAX +2.5 over PIT

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The Supernova Burnout: Finale

Posted by Adam on September 13, 2006

And so it has come to this.  Tonight we find out “whose cuisine will reign supreme!” . . . sorry, wrong show.  The time has come for the world to find out who will join the 80s hair explosion trio of Tommy, Gilby, and Jason to form everyone’s favorite made-for-television rock and roll band.  May the best man (or woman) win on the season finale of Rock Star: Supernova.

After a very brief recap of last night we head straight into announcing the bottom two.  As last night’s show went off the air the popularity order was Dilana, Toby, Lukas, and Magni.  Over the course of the night only Toby dropped to join the other two guys in elimination eligibility.  Right off the bat I am surprised that all four were not in the bottom two at some point.  I would continue to be surprised as Lukas, who I thought was the worst of the bunch last night, staved off early elimination.  Magni and Toby each performed a song.

Magni was up first, electing to perform Jimi Hendrix’s “Fire”, a song that he did an excellent job on during a prior elimination saving performance.  Once again it was a solid effort, letting him show off his guitar skills in addition to his knack for delivering the goods on classic rock songs.  Not sure if rehashing a previous song was the best choice for him though.

Toby’s turn came next as he sang “White Wedding” by Billy Idol, also a song that he performed weeks ago on the show (though not during an elimination night).  Just a so-so performance for me, but the crowd ate it up and are clearly in love with the Aussie.  I don’t think Supernova will boot him before Magni, so he better hope his next performance is much better if he wants to win.  Though will Supernova pick either of these guys to front them since they were in the bottom two already?

Gilby is up to lay down the law.  Without even talking about Toby he says that the Supernovans respect and enjoy Magni, but they feel that he is more a part of the band than the lead singer of the band and make him the first casualty of the night.  I don’t disagree with the reasoning, and I would imagine that Magni may even take that as a compliment, but I find it funny coming from three larger than life rock personalities.  To think that any of the wannabes will stand out and in front of the egos and personas of the Supernovans is hard to imagine.  So we have Lukas, Dilana, and Toby remaining who have stood apart since the beginning of the show’s run.  After a brief look back at each it is time for the final performances, which will also be rehashes of the wannabes’ favorite songs of the competition.  Eh.

Lukas starts it off with The Verve’s “Bittersweet Symphony”.  What was one of his better performances of the season loses some of its impact this go around, perhaps because we know how he is going to sing it.  Case in point, the silence and lighting effect midway through has absolutely no energy or wow factor this time.  He probably picked the right song, but the overall effort could’ve been better.

Dilana chooses to resing “Zombie” by The Cranberries, which is a song that I remember also being one of her better ones in my mind.  Sadly the song brings out what I like least about Dilana: the hoarsey voice, the yodelling, and the frantic, mummer-like movements.  As I watched her go through the song I could not picture the South African fronting Supernova.

Toby finished the song fest with The Killer’s “Somebody Told Me”.  Another solid choice, as it is a song that suits his singing style well.  Again nothing too special, though he showed that out of the remaining three he can work a crowd the best.  I think it will either be him or Lukas, and I think that Toby would ulitmately pull in the most money for the group.  Interesting to note that we still have a half hour of show time left as we go to commercial and the Supernovans debate.

Jason is up with the break down of the trio.  He starts with Toby.  Toby has the best vocal range of the bunch, his performances have kept getting better and better and better, and . . . he’s the next one to go.  Wow, that came out of nowhere!  The crowd is not thrilled, but the Aussie doesn’t seem surprised.  Being in the bottom two tonight probably hurt him.  So Dilana and Lukas are the final two, and both dressed in dark colors Dave gets off a valid zinger about them looking like they are in a goth marriage.  Brooke makes the bonehead comment of the night by saying that they were the highest vote getters last night.  Really?  You mean the two wannabes who weren’t in the bottom two were in the top two?  That’s amazing!  Another deliberation, aka stall for television suspense time, is needed before a winner is announced.

Tommy “The Hatchet Man” Lee is out with his patented Tommy-Hawk to deliver the final edict.  He has nothing but praise to shower upon both Lukas and Dilana, and ultimately they cop out and say that they are listening to the fans and going with the highest vote getter, rendering tonight’s entire show pointless.  The conspiracy theorists can start to run wild, because your new lead singer of Supernova is . . . Lukas Rossi.

Interesting to note that both winners of the two seasons of Rock Star have hailed from Toronto, so whoever the Canadian on the next incarnation is has got to be the front runner.  I think Lukas is the safe choice, but he has seemed to deteriorate in my eyes as the show has run its course.  He was the most rocking of anyone in the early weeks, but in an effort to “show range” he seemed to become more mellow and whiney as the field got whittled down.  I’d go as far to say that he and Ryan were the antithesis of each other, and I now have no clue what to expect out of him fronting this band.

If the final two songs of the show, which had Lukas, Tommy, Gilby, and Jason in full Supernovan splendor closing it out, are any indication this will not be what people are expecting.   I am willing to make the allowance that this is a very crude and unpolished Supernova that we heard tonight, and they have three months to figure things out and find a sound that works the best for them.  My guess is that sound will be nothing like the tidbits we heard and saw over the run of Rock Star.  I am eager to hear what the end result will ultimately be, but I am not too sure that I will enjoy it as much as I initially thought I would many weeks back.  Let’s hope that Mr. Butch Walker can work his magic one more time.  I’ve had fun writing these recaps each week, and I hope you have enjoyed reading.  Now I have to find something new to write about.

Posted in Rock Star: Supernova, Television | 3 Comments »

Rock Star: Supernova week 11

Posted by Adam on September 12, 2006

The final Tuesday edition of Rock Star: Supernova finds four wannabes remaining.  Off the heels of last week we can surely expect each to perform at least two songs, perhaps even three.  Will they get to do new originals?  Will they sing Supernova tracks?  Will Supernova perform?  Will anyone get eliminated tonight?  Also, a former wannabe will return to play a special fan request.  Who will it be?  It’s the second to last show as we start week 11, the final week, of Rock Star: Supernova.

We start off with the fan choice encore, and it should come as no surprise that it is Ryan back to sing his original, “Back of Your Car”.  He is much more humble and polite this go around, thanking the band for the opportunity before giving a reserved performance.  He also wins a car for winning the online vote.

Brooke then informs us how tonight and tomorrow will break down.  Tonight each wannabe sings two songs, a cover and the same original as last week (which I don’t dig at all since we’ve already heard Toby and Lukas sing their’s twice and Dilana’s and Magni’s were forgettable).  Bottom two start off tomorrow night singing for elimination, and then I would imagine the remianing three each perform one last song before a winner is chosen and closes the show with Supernova.  With a rehash of the originals this could be a lackluster second to last show.

Nice juxtaposition by Toby with his song choice, singing the softer more melodic “Karma Police” before going into his full of energy original.  Also, the fact that he was the umpteenth wannabe to have Magni play during his song makes me think that Magni’s guitar skills have got to be as strong as his vocals (and perhaps even better than my mad Guitar Hero virtual shredding abilities).

A few weeks ago one of my friends mention how Lukas reminded him of a young kid who you could beat up, and my opinion of the Torontonian has not been the same since.  I wanted to deny my buddy’s claim, but as I’ve watched and listened to the pussification of my one time favorite I don’t the image is too far fetched.  What I liked about Lukas was his throwback to 80’s glam rock, but lately the heavy stuff has been replaced by a subltler, softer, whiny vibe.  By performing Coldplay and then an acoustic version of his original Lukas just seems out of place with Supernova.  Surprisingly Gilby and Tommy fawned all over him (Jason didn’t comment) reinforcing in my mind what some conspiracy theorists have speculated since the beginning of the show – that Supernova made Lukas their choice long ago.  If last week’s voting was any indication (when Lukas made a similar song choice and toned down Nirvana) he will be in the bottom two again.

Dilana had an interesting set.  “Roxanne” was probably her best sung song on the show, as she started it out a cappella and I heard no hint of the raspiness that usually accompanies her vocals.  Another nice touch during the song when the other three wannabes provided the backup vocals.  Also surprising was the fact that the South African was literally prancing around the soundstage during her original, showing no sign of the torn calf that she suffered two weeks ago.  The raspiness returned during that song though, probably signalling that it is omnipresent when her energy picks up.  Not sure I’d enjoy hearing her screech through a Supernova album, but she performed well tonight.

Magni’s cover of “Hush” was the most energetic song of the night, and probably closest to what I would imagine Supernova to sound like.  However, Tommy’s comment about not remembering anything about his original cannot bode well for the Iceman.  Easily the most rocking set of the night though, which goes a long way in my book, but that might not make a difference in the voting.

The flash voting revealed the following order as the show went off the air:  Dilana, Toby, Lukas, and Magni bringing up the rear.  I definatly think that Lukas will be in the bottom two, and I am inclined to say that Magni will join him, though I will go as far to say that Toby may be safe for sure but Dilana could sneak down.   I would like to see Toby win it all, but my doubts have been piqued about whether or not the decision to go with Lukas has already been made.  I’m also wondering if Storm has slept with Tommy yet or that is something that won’t happen until the tour, but that is a question for another time.  Now we must wait until tomorrow to see the scripted conclusion that Mark Burnett has created.  I’m kidding about the scripted part . . . I hope.  Your set list:

  1. Toby – “Karma Police” by Radiohead and “Throw it Away”
  2. Lukas – “Fix You” by Coldplay and “Headspin” (acoustic)
  3. Dilana – “Roxanne” by The Police and “Super Soul”
  4. Magni – “Hush” by Deep Purple and “When the Time Comes”

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The Supernova Burnout week 10

Posted by Adam on September 6, 2006

Original Supernova track debuts! Encores! Elmination performances! The Tommy-Hawk! Yes boys and girls, it is the results show for Rock Star: Supernova. Let’s do this!

Noticable lack of fluff this week, as we don’t even get mansion footage to dissect. In its place we get fawn sessions for Lukas and Toby, which allows for one of the best lines of the season. In response to a girl in the crowd yellling at him to go out with her, Toby tells her “maybe in ten years.” After that it was straight into the new Supernova track, “It’s All Love.”

Magni had frontman honors this week for what is undoubtedly the hair band ballad of the new CD. I think Magni’s style was more befitting of this track, and that probably had more than anything to do with him getting selected over Storm. As for the song itself, I think Magni held his own, but given that it was a slower more melodic song it was tough to compare to previous weeks efforts. The song seemed pretty generic to me and did not get me excicted for the CD at all. Hopefully Supernova returns to bring the rock again in the final week.

The encore went to Toby, who won a new Honda Element by being selected. I am very surprised by this, but not for the obvious reason. Toby’s original song “Throw it Away” was by far the best of the night last night, and I am happy to see him rewarded for his efforts. However not only did I not expect the Supernovans to make an original song an encore, but I also figured that since Toby had the encore last week he would not be performing again. Evs.

As the show went off the air last night the voting order was Toby, Lukas, Magni, Storm, and Dilana, meaning Toby and Lukas would be safe. Brooke informs us that all five of the wannabes were in the bottom three at some point over the course of voting, and at this point in the competition that shouldn’t surprise anyone.

First up to perform is Storm, showcasing her vocal chops with Pink Floyd’s “Wish You Were Here”. A very emotional performance, that we find out was dedicated to her mom, which caused tears to flow not only from Storm but from Jason as well. Storm is probably the best pure singer out of the remaining five, but I’m not sure that was the right type of song to be singing on elimination night. It was a good performance, but I think if the other two tracks tonight are more Supernova type of music she could be gone.

Performee number two is Dilana who says that she is overdue to sing punk rock, so she chooses “I Want You to Want Me” by Cheap Trick. Not the first song I think of when I hear the word punk, but I am proven wrong from the first note. Dilana turns up the speed and rockets through the song. Might be my favorite performance by her ever, and it couldn’t have come at a better time because I had her pegged for elimination heading into tonight. I now think she is safe. Also, probably my favorite reworking of a classic song that I’ve heard on the show as well. She may not have been my most liked, but I give credit where credit is due. Although I will point out that again, not neccessarily the type of song you would hear Supernova perform.

The final wannabe up for elimination tonight is Lukas, who decides to perform his original track, “Headspin” one more time. This being his first elimination performance, coupled with the fact that the Supernovans seem to dig him, and I don’t think he’s going anywhere. Upon a second listen to his song, I think it would actually get pretty good play on an alternative rock station. Also, probably the closest we’ve come tonight to hearing something that Tommy, Gilby, and Jason might play on tour. He’s safe.

So for the first time in many weeks my predictions were pretty accurate last night. I nailed Lukas and Dilana being in the bottom three, and I was really torn between adding Storm or Magni (OK, so I picked the wrong one, but close can count!). Gilby is up with the performance summary. Storm really mixed it up and showed lots of range in her song selection last night and tonight, but she’s been in the bottom three multiple times. Dilana has been the one to watch most of the season, but again bottom three multiple times now. First time in the bottom three for Lukas, and now with the experience under his belt he can sit down. Time for Tommy “the Hatchet Man” Lee to lay down the verdict, but he balks and passes off the Tommy-Hawk chain to Jason to do the honors. A love fest ensues, and when all is said and done Storm is sent packing. The love fest continues though, and even with all the babbling we finish up a good six or seven minutes before the end of the hour. We are now officially in the final week, and it has become Toby’s contest to lose I do believe.

Posted in Rock Star: Supernova, Television | 2 Comments »

Rock Star: Supernova week 10

Posted by Adam on September 5, 2006

We’re down to the final five wannabes, and in eight days from now Supernova will have an official lead singer. Who has what it takes to win? Have Tommy, Gilby, and Jason already decided who their man or woman is? It’s Tuesday night, so the wait is over to find out. Time for week 10 of Rock Star: Supernova!

The show starts off, as always, with our weekly dose of made-for-TV drama from the mansion. We actually learn a few meaningful things this go around. First, despite my crude attempts at reality show math the past few weeks, there will be four wannabes heading into the final week, so we won’t be having that double elimination I’ve been calling for. Also, each of the remaining five will be performing two songs this week, a cover and an original. Since none of those left standing have gotten a chance to show what their own stuff sounds like, this should be a telling week. The final bit of news comes later in the show when Brooke announces that the House Band will be the opening act for Supernova on tour. Evidently they will keep the runners-up around and kinda have an American Idol type tour. Not sure I dig that.

The mansion footage is relegated to a bit piece about them going in individually to write a song with Gilby. Toby gets praised highly, Lukas is shown to be unprepared, and Dilana once again gets the short end of the stick (Magni and Storm were not featured). I’m really thinking that someone affiliated with the band, either one of the Supernovans themselves or Mr. Butch Walker, is very much anti-Dilana as the mud slinging has been coming nonstop the past few shows. I can’t see her winning at this point, and before the performances she would have to be my favorite to go home this week.

If Dilana is getting the shaft, Lukas is getting the love. I did not enjoy his set at all tonight. First he took one of the all-time stadium rock anthems and stripped it all the way down and followed that up with another “tortured soul” original. Lukas has been one of my favorites througout the show’s run, and if I didn’t like what he did at all, I am amazed that none of the Supernovans had anything remotely negative to say about it. I couldn’t even understand the lyrics to a song I know until he got 30 seconds into it. It was about that point in the song that I was gonna forgive him for destroying it figuring he would stay soft til the second verse and then kick it up. Well the energy never came. Furthermore, after going soft and lullaby-like through the verses he tried to up the energy with his patented Lukas power voice for the chorus which just did not fit in with the rest of the song. Easily my worst of the night.

Dilana wasn’t so great either, but she evidently tore her calf muscle during rehersals (ouch!) so who knows how the discomfort was affecting her. Her cover was a passable version, but at this stage passable isn’t good enough. Also, I have to agree with Gilby when he said that her lyrics needed some work. As I sit here and right this immediately after the show I can’t even remember what Dilana’s original song was like, which doesn’t bode well for her.

Actually I can’t remember much about anyone’s original besides Toby’s. I know that Magni’s was a solid dose of angry rock, heavier than most of the stuff he has shown us. Much like his efforts over the weeks it was good, but not necessarily great. He should move on to the final week.

Storm had the honor of singing with Dave on lead guitar during her cover. She’s always probably had the best interaction with the band out of all the wannabes, and it showed this time out as well as she seemed to be able to share the spotlight with Mr. Navarro. Her original was my second favorite of the night. I’d call it a (girl) power rock song that had a memorable hook and chorus. Storm also had the full backing of the Supernovans tonight, so that in tandem with the strong fan base she has shown might let her squeak to safety.

The star of the night though was unquestionably the man from down under. I thought that Toby rushed through his cover, but maybe that was just because he couldn’t wait to get to his original. What a way to close the show. His song was an upbeat, catchy, radio friendly gem. It could easily be released this week and land in the top ten by the end of the month. Check this out on youtube as soon as it becomes available. Needless to say the Austrailian is now my favorite to win it all.

The flash voting gave us the rankings of all five wananbes instead of just the bottom three, and I’m sure they are less telling as they always appear. The rankings as the show went off the air were: Toby, Lukas, Magni, Storm, and Dilana. I agree with first and last, but I would change the middle part to look like: Storm, Magni, and Lukas. Lukas and Dilana easily make my bottom three, with Magni and Storm being neck and neck for the final performing spot tomorrow. While I would love to see Magni survive again, I think his change of fortune from last week was a one shot deal and he will be back in the bottom three tomorrow.

Storm performs with Supernova, and Magni gets the encore with “Back in the USSR”, because quite frankly I can’t see an original getting the encore.  Dilana goes home.  She’s been on a downward spiral since the criticism and her star is fading way to fast, plus with the leg injury the Supernovans can play it off like they are looking out for her well being.  Here’s the set list:

  1. Dilana – “Behind Blue Eyes” by The Who and “Super Soul”
  2. Magni – “Back in the USSR” by The Beatles and “When the Time Comes”
  3. Storm – “Suffraggette City” by David Bowie and “(What the [What] is) Ladylike”
  4. Lukas – “Living on a Prayer” by Bon Jovi and “Headspin”
  5. Toby – “Mr. Brightsides” by The Killers and “Throw it Away”

Posted in Rock Star: Supernova, Television | Leave a Comment »

NFL Preview and Predictions

Posted by Adam on September 4, 2006

The NFL starts it’s season proper on Thursday night, so I figure now was as good of a time as any to take a look at the teams in the league and play pigskin pronosticator. I’m gonna break down division by division, then go into playoff picks, and throw out a couple of award picks to really go out on a limb. Also, after all of that fun is done I am going to give my predicitons for the week 1 winners. I am going to go through the season picking against the line and straight up to see if I can end up with a winning record. Let’s get to the standings —

NFC North

  1. Chicago Bears (11-5) Very weak schedule, despite playing 05 divsion champs
  2. Minnesota (8-8)
  3. Detroit (8-8) Both DET and MIN could be anywhere from 10-6 to 6-10
  4. Green Bay (4-12)

NFC East

  1. Philadelphia (10-6) Division is evenly matched, I think everyone splits their series
  2. Dallas (10-6)
  3. New York (10-6) Conference record could doom them, as they play SEA and CHI
  4. Washington (10-6)

NFC South

  1. Carolina (12-4) Best team in NFC if Foster stays healthy
  2. Tampa Bay (8-8)
  3. Atlanta (7-9)
  4. New Orleans (4-12) Very tough schedule, despite playing 05 4th placers

NFC West

  1. Seattle (13-3) Weak division helps them get home field
  2. Arizona (7-9)
  3. St Louis (6-10)
  4. San Francisco (4-12)

NFC Playoff Seeds

  1. Seattle
  2. Carolina
  3. Chicago
  4. Philadelphia
  5. Dallas
  6. New York

AFC North

  1. Cincinnati (11-5) Palmer looks healthy, I’m a believer
  2. Pittsburgh (10-6)
  3. Baltimore (8-8) Talented team, but schedule is too tough
  4. Cleveland (4-12)

AFC East

  1. Miami (11-5) I don’t buy the hype, but the schedule favors them
  2. New England (10-6) Can’t trust the defense
  3. Buffalo (5-11)
  4. New York (3-13) This is a bad team

AFC South

  1. Indianapolis (13-3) Best team in the league should cruise to playoffs
  2. Jacksonville (8-8)
  3. Tenessee (3-13) Still a year away from making any noise
  4. Houston (3-13)

AFC West

  1. San Diego (11-5) Conference record wins the division
  2. Denver (11-5)
  3. Kansas City (10-6) Ten wins won’t guarantee playoffs in the AFC
  4. Oakland (3-13)

AFC Playoff Seeds

  1. Indianapolis
  2. San Diego
  3. Cincinnatti
  4. Miami
  5. Denver
  6. New England

Wild Card Weekend: CHI over NYG, DAL over PHI, NE over CIN, MIA over DEN

Conference Round: SEA over DAL, CAR over CHI, IND over NE, SD over MIA

Conference Championships: CAR over SEA, IND over SD

Superbowl: CAR over IND

Awards

  • MVP – Peyton Manning
  • Offensive PotY – Peyton Manning
  • Defensive PotY – Brian Urlacher
  • Offensive RotY – Wali Lundy
  • Defensive RotY – AJ Hawk
  • Coach of the Year – Nick Saban

Now a quick rundown of my week 1 picks. Pick against the line is also my outright pick unless otherwise noted.

  • MIA +3 over PIT
  • DEN – 3 over STL
  • TEN -3 over NYJ
  • NE -9 over BUF
  • BAL +3 over TB
  • KC -3 over CIN
  • SEA -6 over DET
  • CAR -5.5 over ATL
  • PHI -4 over HOU
  • CLE -3 over NO
  • JAX – 2.5 over DAL
  • CHI -3.5 over GB
  • SF +7.5 over ARI (ARI to win the game)
  • IND -3.5 over NYG
  • WAS -4 over MIN
  • SD -3 over OAK

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