Adam\’s Stream of Consciousness

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The NFL Post – week 5

Posted by Adam on October 6, 2006

A quarter of the season has passed, so like every other sports site you may or may not visit I may as well gear my thoughts this week towards the season on the whole instead of the immediacy of the past seven days.  Same format as always.

How I Did

4-9-1 ATS, 10-4 straight up (25-33-2, 42-18 for the season).

What I Learned

Evidently not that much.  I feel pretty confident about choosing who the better teams in the games each week are, but how much better they are seems to be a challenge for me.  Baltimore and Chicago both were impressive in their victories, while Oakland and Miami were just as atrocious in losing.

What Was Reinforced

The NFL has been the pillar of parity in sports since the turn of the century, and the bulk of the league will be battling for the wildcard playoff spots in December.  I do feel, however, that the scary good and really awful has started to break away from the pack, so here is my version of the ubiquitous best and worst list thus far (and yes, I wrote this sentence just to use the word ubiquitous).  First the good, then the bad.

  1. Chicago – the top defense now has an offense to go along with it
  2. Indy – the top offense will carry them to a first round bye
  3. Baltimore – the AFC’s top defense has its best offense in years
  4. San Diego – really complete team that can’t be as unlucky as they were last season
  5. Seattle – a healthy Alexander is the key to this teams long term success
  1. Oakland – would three wins be a successful season at this point?
  2. Tennessee – rookie camp goes all season long
  3. Green Bay – absolutely no defense for Favre’s swan song
  4. San Francisco – similar to Green Bay, but their rebuilding got started last year
  5. Tampa Bay – unless Graodikndofinkseioski is Brady it’s gonna be a long season

What To Expect

Seattle and Chicago should run away in the NFC West and North respectively, but every other division has at least two teams who should push til the end:  Jacksonville will push Indy, Baltimore and Cincy will battle, the Jets won’t disappear from the Patriot’s rear view mirror, everyone but Oakland will beat each other up in the AFC West, same with everyone but Tampa in the NFC South, and it is anybody’s division in the NFC East.

The Picks

  • TEN +18.5 over IND (Indy to win)
  •  NYG -4 over WAS
  • MIN -6.5 over DET
  • NO -6.5 over TB
  • STL -3 over GB
  • MIA +10 over NE (New England to win)
  • CHI -10 over BUF
  • CLE +8 over CAR (Carolina to win)
  • JAX -7 over NYJ
  • KC -3.5 over ARI
  • SF -3 over OAK
  • PHI -1.5 over DAL
  • SD -3.5 over PIT
  • BAL +4 over DEN (Denver to win)
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One Response to “The NFL Post – week 5”

  1. cialis said

    cialis

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